Saturday, July 23, 2016

the redprint

I suppose you could call this a blueprint... err uhh, "redprint" for a 2016 Trump victory.

Obviously, if you're on Team Trump, the goal is to secure the most votes.  But as Al Gore found out in 2000, that doesn't always work.  Hell, he got a half million votes more than W.  Still, George still eked out a narrow victory in the electoral college.  However, votes are good.  Right?

Not necessarily. 

Ralph Nader's presence on the Green Party ticket totally screwed over the founder of the internet.  Had it not been for Nader's decision to run, Gore would have become president and the last 15 years would have likely unfolded in a vastly different way.  Hint: no incentive for ousting Saddam, hence no war in Iraq.

The margins in the 2000 election were so slim that it simply became a matter of numbers and percentages.  A similar dynamic has emerged in this election cycle as well.

So if you're on the Trump Train (a/k/a the Jag-Off Express), the trick is to get diehard Bernie Sanders supporters to NOT cast a vote for Hillary Clinton.

By most estimates, the Sanders vote represents nearly half of the Democratic party.  That's a massive contingency of dedicated, reliable, activist voters.  These aren't the type of people who will voluntarily stay home on election night.  They are by definition "super-voters."  But here's the problem --- the overwhelming majority of these people sure as hell aren't going to vote for Trump.

But if you're a Trumpeter, that's fine and dandy.  And here's why.

Their campaign's mission should be to persuade the greatest number of Sanders supporters to vote Libertarian... by any means possible.  Judging from his behavior on the campaign trail, I seriously doubt Trump (or Hillary for that matter) would have any moral qualms about disingenuously poisoning the popular vote.  The question is --- if a political adviser went to him and said... "Hey, I think the clearest path to victory is to push the Libertarian party and their agenda," well, the question is, "would Donald bite?"  As the biggest egomaniac in the history of presidential politics... the answer is... probably not.  But as a self-professed strategist, polling connoisseur and calculating businessman... the answer becomes... maybe or even quite possibly.

Once again.

The objective:  Do NOT try to get the disaffected Berners to vote for Donald.  Why?  Because it's an exercise in total futility.  They won't do it.  Those Sanders loyalists will NEVER support Trump.  However, a significant percentage might be persuaded to vote Libertarian.  Just enough to fuck with the plurality.  Think of it like George Bush Sr. getting screwed over by Ross Perot in 1992 when Bill Clinton won.  But this time, the third candidate would emerge from the center-left, not the center-right.

So here's the Libertarian ticket: Gary Johnson and William Weld.

Johnson is the former Republican governor of New Mexico (a purple state) and Bill Weld is the former Republican governor of Massachusetts (a solidly blue state).  Both were popular governors and still have generally high approval ratings.  Even though most voters have no idea who the hell they are.  But guess what?  I think that might change.  Especially if they were to squeak into the debates.  Maybe one of the networks will surprise us (that means they think it'll get them higher ratings/increased revenue).  But for the love of Sir Edmund Hillary, it's the accuracy of "the national polling" that determines whether or not they're included in the pinnacle of presidential debates!  Yeah, right.  Gimme a fucking break. 

The Libertarian platform is grounded in economic conservatism (balanced budgets, fair taxation, reduced government) and social liberalism (pro-choice, pro-LGBT, prison reform, equal pay).  This is where most of the country is trending.  Less government, greater personal freedom and restrained use of military power abroad.  It's also where most Sanders supporters are ideologically aligned.  It's a reasonable fit.

So here's how you get Trump into the White House.

Spend big in the key swing states where Hillary is neck and neck or has a slight lead.  Obviously, OH-PA-FL.  But I'd also throw in NH, IA, WI and some of the other rust belt states.

Make targeted anti-Hillary ads about social issuesHit her where it hurts.  Where she derives the greatest amount of political capital.  Where her and the Sanders vote ideologically coincide.

Drugs and crime --- Marijuana legalization and the failed war on drugs.  Focus on incarceration rates among minorities and the private prison monolith.  This stuff resonates with the Sanders contingency.  Those hippies love their dope.  Sour Diesel, Bubblicious, White Rhino, etc.  Trust me, I know whereof I speak.

The Clinton administration (1992-2000) was widely responsible for the massive funding increases of local police departments.  Directly heap blame upon him and Hillary for the current police state and their militarized behavior.  All those internet videos of cops shooting unarmed victims are turbo-charged, emotional whirlpools.  More will surface before the election.  Draw the link.

Gay marriage --- People tend to forget that Hillary (and even Obama) were opposed to gay marriage UNTIL it became politically expedient.  In essence, neither had the moral vision UNTIL it was politically safe.  In the 2008 primary, they couldn't get on board with marriage equality.  Why?  Because they knew the political tide hadn't yet shifted and it might hurt them in the swing states.  A reminder of her calculated hypocrisy on gay marriage would be devastating.  By contrast, to the best of my knowledge, Gary Johnson has always been a supporter of gay marriage.  Play the "queer card."

Fact: 5 - 10% of the population is gay.  Even those weirdo log cabin Republicans are having misgivings about Trump and the party at-large.  And like I've been saying, a vote for Gary Johnson becomes more than a vote against Hillary.  It is a vote FOR Trump.  Lest I remind ye that this whole thing is a numbers game.

I'd also consider going after Hillary on the God issue.  Let's face the facts.  Religion is generally on the decline.  So why not try to carve out a tiny niche of the upscale black vote by making her appear as a phony non-believer?  Johnson is a Lutheran but not particularly religious.  He generally invokes the golden rule (do unto others).  Whereas, Hillary vanquishes her enemies and stomps them into the ground.  Now you don't build yourself up by tearing others down!  It's a narrative that might appeal to disenfranchised Bernie fans.  She already got away with this once... at our expense.  Don't let her do it twice.  Feel the Bern!  Although the mere thought of a Bernie Sanders "gregarious groin groping" is admittedly unappealing.

I just think there's a greater percentage of agnostic undecideds that lean to the left.  Would non-religious blacks and hispanics lean to the left as well?  Well, it's not much of a significant voting bloc.  But it's probably worth a shot, particularly in North Carolina.

Something else to keep in mind.  If you can convince a significant percentage of the Sanders diehards (and trust me, the people at his rallies might look a little suspect with the scalene beards, the dreadlocks, the centrist nose rings, the female armpit hair, and the tye-dyes), but I can assure you of one thing.  They are perpetually pissed off that Bernie got shafted.  Push the narrative that Bernie got fucked over by DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz.  And to a lesser extent, focus on her greasy, caucasian jerry-curl.  Behind the scenes, the Democratic National Committee is more divided than is generally known.  Take advantage of this.  Exploit the rift.

Another thing.  Don't forget about the Jill Stein.  She's the Green Party candidate.  Let her be your source for unlimited estrogen, even though I have a hunch she's well beyond menopause.  I could actually envision the Trump organization casting aspersions upon Hillary for her wilting, decrepit ovaries.  Offer some subtle reminders that she's the resilient, respected alternative female candidate... and more importantly, she's Jewish.  Try to snag away some of that white, wealthy, girlchick vote.  If you really need a woman in the White House, vote for one that isn't crooked and corrupt.  Never forget the Jew vote.

One more thing.  Compete in New York and New Jersey.  This would force the Clinton campaign to spend valuable dollars defending themselves in New York, one of the most expensive ad markets in the country.  Drain the DNC resources.  For the love of Christ, do NOT let Trump abandon his home state.  The vast majority of NYC voters probably despise him, but Manhattan is where he seems to thrive.  Stick with the angry, populist campaign.  But at the same time, don't forget about the opulent optics of Trump hotel, Trump plaza, Trump pokemon, whatever.  If Trump somehow wins New York, he wins it all.  Guaranteed.  I think it's worth a shot.  The voters elect Republican governors with surprising regularity (Jew-liani, Pataki, etc.)  I wanna be a part of it, New York New York!

California is probably too big of a stretch.  Steer clear of the West Coast. 

My point to all of this.  Hillary and Trump both have ridiculously high negatives.  And those negatives are not going to magically dissipate.  So why on earth, would you spend enormous sums of money trying to re-brand the Trump image in a positive light?  Newsflash: The guy is a jag-off and will continue to remain a jag-off, til death do us part... via jagging off (correctly referred to as auto-erotic asphyxiation).  Incidentally, I still think Trump or Hillary is going to get shot in the head.  Our country is just way overdue for a high profile political assassination.

Remember Sun Tzu and The Art of War...
  • When strong, avoid them.  If of high morale, depress them.  Seem humble to fill them with conceit.  If at ease, exhaust them.  If united, separate them.  Attack their weaknesses.  Emerge to their surprise.
  • All warfare is based on deception.  Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.
Presidential politics is war.  Hillary and Donald are engaged in a political war.  If you can't diminish those high negatives, the only realistic path to victory should be to hurl even greater negatives at your opponent... and deceive as many voters as possible along the way.  But the superior strategy is to "divide and conquer."  Less expensive, too.

If this entire strategy is too complex for team Trump (which is basically just this one guy named Paul Manafort and a hastily assembled crew of political sycophants), here's a simple fallback contingency plan.  I call it the nuclear option.

If Donald's finds himself faltering in late October, drop a Trump-bomb.  Just say... "Hey, if I am elected POTUS... I promise to donate 90% of my fortune to a variety of charitable causes."  I have a weird hunch there's a percentage of voters who would think... well hmm.  Both of them are corrupt and the system is rigged.  Might as well vote for Trump.  Hey, at least something good could come out of this whole election mess.

A final confession --- I absolutely love this political shit.  It's why I'm writing my fourth book.  A book more disturbing than my previous three (the most disturbing book ever written ---, the most dangerous book ever written ---, and the worst book ever written ---  A book that will be the "blueprint" or "redprint" for reshaping the future of voting rights and the state of Democracy as we know it.  One that will significantly alter the course of humanity.  But honestly, it's not a big deal.

I'll release it on the internet.  On election night, of course.  I'm sure everyone will be on pins and needles as the date approacheth.

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